North Korea has conducted a night test of
an unidentified ballistic missile which flew over Japan and landed in the
Pacific Ocean, bringing a return to high tension to the region after a lull of
more than two months.
The type and range
of the North Korean missile was not immediately clear, but initial reports from
Seoul suggested that it came from a mobile launcher, and was fired at 3 am
local time. The mobile night launch appeared aimed at testing new capabilities
and demonstrating that Pyongyang would be able to strike back to any attempt at
a preventative strike against the regime.
The Japanese
broadcaster “The missile flew over Japan’s northern main island of
Hokkaido and
fell into the Pacific Ocean,” reports Japanese news outlet, NHK. First
unconfirmed reports suggested that the flight time could have been as long as
50 minutes, which would be a record for a North Korean missile test.
Within minutes of
the launch, the South Korean joint chiefs of staff announced Seoul had carried
out an exercise involving the launch of a “precision strike” missile, signaling
that it was primed to respond immediately to any attack from the north.
It was the first North Korean ballistic
missile test since September 15, ending a pause that has been the
norm in Autumn. It follows a warning earlier this month from Donald Trump that
North Korean threats to strike the US and its allies would be a “fatal
miscalculation.”
“This a very
different administration than the United States has had in the past. Do not
underestimate us. And do not try us,” Trump said in a speech to the South
Korean national assembly.
The launch also
marked a rebuff to Russia which had claimed the previous day that the pause in
missile launches suggested that Pyongyang was ready to defuse tensions in line
with a proposal from Moscow and Beijing that North Korea could freeze missile and
nuclear tests in exchange for a scaling down of US and allied military
exercises.
“I think North Korea’s restraint for the past two
months is within the simultaneous freeze road map” the deputy Russian foreign
minister, Igor Morgulov, told
reporters in Seoul on Monday.
“It’s still too early to tell what they tested,”
Vipin Narang, an expert on the North Korean nuclear programme at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said. “If it was a new variant, that
would be more significant. Otherwise, a nighttime launch is a big part of a
testing and training sequence, preparing units for realistic response scenarios
on both sides: survivability measures on the DPRK side, and quick reaction from
the ROK [South Korean] side.
Mira Rapp-Hooper, an expert on Asia-Pacific security
at Yale Law School and the Centre for a New American Security said that the
night launch “matters because that’s when they’d launch under operational
conditions.
“The mobile launcher matters because it means their
missile capability is increasingly survivable— we can’t threaten to take out a
missile on a launchpad if there is no launch pad and we don’t know where it’s
coming from,” Rapp-Hooper said.
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